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Prediction models – ready for use


Prediction of 5-year risk of recurrence in resected patients with grade 1 and 2 pancreas neuroendocrine tumors

  • Design: data of 211 patients from 3 tertiary centers
  • Validation: data of 342 patients from 7 international centers
  • Publication: submitted

Prediction of 3-year survival in patients after pancreatoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma

  • Design: data of 454 patients from Dutch Cancer Registry
  • Validation: data of 298 patients from Belgian Cancer Registry and 2 centers in 2 countries
  • Publication: submitted

Prediction of financial headroom for prophylactic treatment for delayed gastric emptying after pancreatoduodenectomy

  • Design: data of 581 patients from 1 tertiary center
  • Publication: submitted

Prediction model for 3- and 5-year survival in patients with resected ampullary adenocarcinoma

Prediction of 5-year conditional survival following pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer

Prediction of 3-year survival after resection after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer: the updated Amsterdam model

Updated alternative Fistula Risk Score (ua-FRS) to include minimally-invasive pancreatoduodenectomy: pan-european validation

  • Design: data of 952 patients from 26 center of the European Consortium of Minimally Invasive Pancreatic Surgery (E-MIPS) from 7 countries
  • Validation: external validation in a-FRS dataset
  • Publication: Mungroop T, et al.  Ann Surg 2019

Preoperative risk of 90-day mortality after distal pancreatectomy with celiac axis resection (DP-CAR)

Old prediction models (updated/validated models above)

Alternative Fistula Risk Score (a-FRS): online calculator for fistula risk after pancreatoduodenectomy

  • Design: data from the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit, nationwide registry, and University Hospital Southampton
  • Validation: data from the University Hospital Verona and University Hospital of Pennsylvania
  • Publication: Mungroop T. et al. Ann Surg 2017

Survival calculator: online calculator for survival 3-year after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer

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