Prediction models – ready for use
Preoperative distal fistula risk score (d-FRS) for distal pancreatectomy: design and internal-external validation
Design: data of 339 patients from 2 Italian centers.
Validation: internal-external validation of 1336 patient from 5 centers in the United States and the Netherlands
Publication: De Pastena / van Bodegraven, submitted
Intra-operative distal fistula risk score
Design: data of 339 patients from 2 Italian centers
Validation: Internal validation was done using bootstrapping
Publication: De Pastena / van Bodegraven, submitted
- Design: data of 952 patients from 26 center of the European Consortium of Minimally Invasive Pancreatic Surgery (E-MIPS) from 7 countries
- Validation: external validation in a-FRS dataset
- Publication: Mungroop T, et al. Ann Surg 2019
Prediction of 3-year survival in patients after pancreatoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma (becomes online after publication has been accepted)
- Design: data of 454 patients from Dutch Cancer Registry
- Validation: data of 298 patients from Belgian Cancer Registry and 2 centers in 2 countries
- Publication: submitted
- International validation: data of 3.081 patients from 11 centers in 8 countries
- Publication: van Roessel S, et al. Eur J Surg Oncol 2019
Prediction of 5-year risk of recurrence in resected patients with grade 1 and 2 pancreas neuroendocrine tumors
- Design: data of 211 patients from 3 tertiary centers
- Validation: data of 342 patients from 7 international centers
- Publication: submitted
Prediction of 5-year conditional survival following pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer
- Design: 3.082 patients from Dutch nationwide registry data
- Publication: Latenstein A, et al. Ann Surg Onc 2020
Prediction model for 3- and 5-year survival in patients with resected ampullary adenocarcinoma
- Design: data of 1.007 patients from 12 centers in 5 countries
- Validation: data of 462 patients from 15 centers in 6 countries
- Publication: Moekotte A, et al. Eur J Surg Oncol 2020
- Design: data of 581 patients from 1 tertiary center
- Publication: Francken M, et al. HPB (Oxford) 2021
- Design and validation: international data from 20 European, 2 US, and 1 Japanese pancreas centers.
- Publication: Klompmaker S, et al. Ann Surg Onc 2018
Old prediction models (updated/validated models above)
- Design: data from the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit, nationwide registry, and University Hospital Southampton
- Validation: data from the University Hospital Verona and University Hospital of Pennsylvania
- Publication: Mungroop T. et al. Ann Surg 2017
- Design: data from the Academic Medical Center Amsterdam
- Publication: Tol J, et al. Br J Surg 2015
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